Sunday, November 22, 2009

Looking Ahead to the 2010-2011 Hoops Season...Division I and II

(Last updated 4/1/10)
It's never too early to look at which teams will be contenders next season.

Division I

Early Favorites - Too many question marks to tell this early. The main Does David Madol return to Trinity or go prep? Does Connor Green return to BG or go prep? And are Richard Valentin and Greg Asselin granted an extra year of eligibility by the NHIAA? If the answers to these questions are all yes, then the question of who will be the favorites next year in Class L is an easy one...Trinity, Guertin and West.

Trinity...If Madol returns the Pioneers will certainly be one of the favorites as they also return guys like Zach Stevens, Hunter Viscarello, Andrew Lauderdale, Sylvere Aluko, Travis Descoteaux, Jake Hamel and Dylan Lafond. Without Madol this will still be a solid team. But with him back they could definitely be the preseason favorite. Either way their biggest challenge will be replacing Phil Hayden at point guard. And also how long will it take Stevens to fully recover from the torn ACL injury?

BG...If Green returns, these guys will also be up there. Regardless of what happens with Madol or Valentin, if Green returns the Cardinals will have the best 1-2 punch in Class L with Green and Sean McClung. Two other key returners are Nick Pyzocha and Steve Cuipa. Guertin also had one of the better JV players I saw this past season in 6'4" sophomore Joe McCarthy and they also return Mike Kelly. Dimitri Floras is staying at Merrimack and not transferring to BG. But there are also 2 players who more than likely will be transferring to Guertin next season. Both players are sending in their paperwork, and as long as they get accepted they'll be wearing green and gold next season. As soon as these transfers become official I will reveal their names, but not until then.

West...Last season the Blue Knights had a solid 6 player rotation. When those 6 guys were available at Coach Carey's disposal they were as good as anybody in the state. If Valentin and Asselin both return next season, West will have ALL 6 of them back. Samy Abadalla, Jose Gonzalez and Aaron Martin will all be back for sure. Then there's Quintin Hunter, who should be back on the team after getting suspended towards the end of this past season. This past season they also lacked depth, but next year look for Ivan Ilic and Stephen Gomez to come up from JV and help out in that department. It's a big if, but if all 6 of the top guys are back, I would not be surprised to see this team cut down the nets next March.

(Valentin is only a junior academically, and he also missed half the season in 2008-2009 due to health/injury problems. Asselin is only a sophomore academically after he moved to Manchester from down south)

Oh, and in case you're wondering, here's the NHIAA's eligibility policy: http://www.nhiaa.org/PDFs/1135/protectingyourhighschooleligibility.pdf

After these 3 teams it is wide open. Manchester Central will be dangerous, though.

Best of the Rest...

Yes, Williams and Gauthier are two of the best sophomores in the state. But North loses Pratt, Nadeau and Rancourt to graduation, 3 key losses. Plus Brodeur and McHugh are also graduating, a pair of solid role players. It will all be on the shoulders of Williams and Gauthier, with O'Connor and Marinchik also helping out.

North will be a solid team. But if Green, Madol, Valentin and Asselin are all back for their respective teams I can't see anyone touching Trinity, BG and West. Those will be the top 3 teams in Division I next year, no question about it.

But that is far from a sure thing that all 4 of those guys return to their teams. If none of them do, the league will be much more wide open. And you will see other teams in the mix. Central would possibly become the favorite with Wickey, LaCount, Brown, Ferge, Melendez, Stisser and Majong all back. Central will basically have the exact same team back next year from this past season. If Stisser can stay healthy, they will be VERY good. Oh, and it also wouldn't hurt if the Little Green's chances if they could keep their players from transferring to Trinity! But Central is definitely the 4th team to really keep your eye on.

After that it's wide open with teams like: North (Williams and Gauthier), Dover (Faustino and Al-Darraji), Salem (Gallant, Cannone and Lorenz) and South (Joseph, Muccioli and Basora) and Alvirne (Donnelly, Moyen, Beaulieu, Tomaswick and Baldwin).

Also, Pinkerton won't be too bad with Park, Patrikis, Colbert, Light and Williams all back and Piechowiak and Sandburg coming up from JV.

And you can NEVER underestimate Winnacunnet. Even though the Warriors have a VERY good senior class graduating, they'll bring back Cronan, Munson and Dolan. Then a couple kids who didn't get as much playing time last year but who have plenty of size are Rahn and Oweifie.

Unfortunately, I don't see things getting much better for Keene, Timberlane, Spaulding, Concord or Goffstown (who might be moving down to Division II). The best player on any of those teams is Keene's Theo Speas. Don't be surprised if he transfers somewhere.

And apparently, the only team I haven't mentioned yet is Memorial, Exeter, Merrimack and Londonderry. They'll be decent, but they definitely lose a lot of their team to graduation. Next year it will be Shomari Morgan's team, and he'll be supported by Hervens Desire and Rodney Martinez who are the only other 2 players returning who got regular playing time last season. Look for Joel Mayola to come up from JV and get some minutes. On paper the Crusaders look like a 6 or 7 win team. But it's still very early, and with Fitzpatrick coaching I wouldn't underestimate them either.

As for Exeter, it will be a tough year for them next season. They relied HEAVILY on seniors this past season. They had 4 solid players who weren't seniors (Holler, LaRoche, Conner and Tiernan) but there are questions about whether any of them will be back next season.

Edit: And let's not forget about Merrimack. Like I reported earlier, Goodridge will be back as coach, and Dimitri Floras will be back to run the show on on the floor. Look for a big year from Tyler Gendron who will be a junior. Tyler Amigo will have a bigger role on the team as a senior. And the Tomahawks will have a couple of solid players coming up from JV, in Jeff Gianneli and Brandon Malloch. Merrimack won't be as good as good as they were this past season, but they will be bigger. Their starting lineup will likely be Floras at the one (6'0"), Malloch at thetwo (6'2"), Gendron at the three (6'4"), Amigo at the four (6'1") and Gianneli at the five (6'5"). Merrimack will be a solid team, and will be somewhere among those other teams in the middle of the pack.

It will also be a tough year for Londonderry next season. Mike Colby returns and should have a strong senior season, but Flanders, Sanborn, Bintz and Finnegan all graduate.

Division II

Early Favorites -

Milford...In order to figure out the early favorites in Class L there a bunch of question marks. In Class I there are none. Milford is the favorite. Hands down. No questions asked. If they were in Class L they would be the favorite in there, too. There are so many variables that can affect what happens between now over the course of next season. There's injuries, players might get complacent, or just have an off game, they might have a fluke shot beat them, etc. So I hate to predict an undefeated season. But next year Milford will have a VERY good chance at accomplishing this feat. The "Big 3" will be back. Kyle Nelson will be back. So will Scott McCallum, Dan Desmarais and Jovi Philbrick.

Other Contenders...
Pelham...Steve Spirou and Michael Lombard will combine to form one of the best senior duos in the state. They also return point guard Derek DeFranzo and Dean Joyce. Look for Brett Bailey and Kevin Cheam to come up from JV and contribute.

Souhegan...The Sabers return their top 4 players, and 5 of their top 6 off this past year's squad. Devin Gilligan, Seth Cordts, Ryan Redmond, Jack Nelson and Nick Hession. These guys all got big minutes this past season. They also had the top JV team in Class I. This could possibly be next year's runner-up.

Pembroke...Valentin and Asselin aren't the only players who are likely to petition the NHIAA for an extra year. Coleton Neely may also do the same. Neely missed his entire junior season due to health reasons. No matter what, Pembroke will have probably the 2 best sophomores in Class I in Rene Maher and Matt Persons. And these guys also have some solid incoming freshmen. If Neely is back, they'll have a heck of a backcourt.

Bedford...The main question here is Jared Fahmy. Fahmy reclassified to Brewster Academy this past winter, but is now back at Bedford High. If he plays for the Bulldogs next season, they will have a lethal inside duo with him and Joey Maher. Jared's brother Trevor is also a 6'5" kid who will see more playing time. Then there's the 6'5" Will McInerny who comes up from JV. Other varsity returners will be Richard O'Brien, Trevor Glassman and Nate Larrivee. Bedford needs to find a new coach, as Joe Kegler is moving to Portugal. But if Jared Fahmy comes back to Bedford next season and if the young big men develop, this could be the second best team in Class I.

Edit: After that group of teams it is wide open. Teams that will be in the mix for a top 8 and possibly top 4 seed are John Stark (LeBlond and Johnstone), Portsmouth (DiCesare, Lane and McCarthy), Oyster River (Goodwin, Walker and Hennessy), Kingswood (Jozokos and Meyers) and Coe-Brown (Mitchell and Lang). Look for St. Thomas to be more respectable, led by Kahr and Hasser as juniors. Lebanon will definitely struggle compared to this year. They graduate their whole starting lineup, and Hampton is the only returner who got big minutes last year. Cowles comes up from JV to help out, but this team might not make the tournament next year.

Top Incoming Freshmen (all classes)

Here is an early look at 5 freshmen to watch out for next season.

(In alphabetical order)
-Dawson Dickson
-Carmen Giampetruzzi
-Ben Judson
-Patrick Keefe (Trinity coach Dave Keefe's son)
-Roger Larrivee

Dickson, Giampetruzzi and Keefe will all likely be going to Trinity. The Pioneers will be so deep that they will all play JV next season, but all 3 are guards and will be a very good backcourt down the road. The other two could possibly play varsity. Larrivee will be going to Bedford. He might be good enough to get some varsity minutes, but with the depth Bedford has in the post he might play JV. Judson is the one of the 5 players who seems like he'll get varsity minutes, as he is a Timberlane kid. But there is also a chance he'll be going to Central Catholic.


68 comments:

  1. Why do you never comment on class M or S

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  2. ben judson is repeating 8th grade

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  3. gendron coming up too is really good. plays for the titans same with cj boykins those two are as good if not better then dickson

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  4. IS Dickson the kid form Lithcfield?

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  5. Martin Toe is also very good Freshman coming in for Concord and he goes there he should get Varsity minutes. I am not sure why Judson is so high his middle school team only one a few games this year and I was not overly impressed with his game.

    Bedford also had a 6-7 kid on their middle school team that improved a lot throughout the season.

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  6. Central will be legitimate next year. Look for a strong season from Wickey, barring injury, and solid performances from LaCount and Audie Mendez. All in all they're composed of a bunch of hard-nosed ballplayers, who will be able to grind out Ws against just about any team.

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  7. What High School will Bed play at after he repeats? He going to Brady? Concord or Bow?

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  8. Ben Judson is a 6' point guard, 8th grader at timberlane. He is a Scott Hazleton/Vin Pastore Rivals AAU player. He will move to Sacred Hearts next year to repeat 8th grade.

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  9. Jeremy, what is your take on Neely playing in the Senior All Star game at NHTI and now asking for another year? Seems to me that if he were going to try to ask for another year based on his belief that he is only a junior he would have skipped on the Senior game to help with his argument?
    Any idea?

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  10. Jeremy,don't forget remi is coming back for bg.

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  11. you should make a post on who got awards for all classes. who made 1st team and so on. and different accolades

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  12. That's right, I knew I was forgetting about someone, my b.

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  13. The reasons Jeremy does not comment on Class M is because he is a coach for a class M school. With that said I think you still can have an opinion on your thoughts what class M will offer as favorites next season. When i woke up this morning i was still in the great USA, and no one can take your opinion away. Go ahead Jeremy...throw us fans outside the "great" class L a bone.

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  14. I think Pelham had a real good 8th grader too. A guard that scored 25-30 a game for their middle school team. A real physical guard that can get to the hoop. Just what the Pythons need to compliment Spirou and Lombard. Gendron from Merrimack is very good!!!

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  15. I don't know why, maybe based on watching a ton of basketball, but I don't see how middle school performance translates directly to how someone will perform in Varsity. Varsity is faster, more physical, and against much stronger players(older players = more muscle mass)...a different game. Someone "big for their age" who performs well against a lot of smaller individuals isn't necessarily gong to do great against people his own size or bigger.

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  16. Jake Vaiknoras from Pelham is real deal

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  17. for those parents that "redshirt" their kids in 8th grade, having them repeat the grade, stop it. It seems like Trinity likes to do that with kids at St. Josephs. Do the parents really think it makes a difference? Didn't the Descotaux kid do it? Do you really think he's going to be that much of a force in high school just because he repeated a year?

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  18. what grade are the two transfers in? You dont have to give there names just curious on the grade. Thanks jeremy

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  19. 2:48 The decision to have Coleton play in the granite game was disscused with the A.D. and we decided to have him go ahead and play. There is no guarentee that he will again have the opportunity. As it turned out Cole had a great game and the exposure he received is huge for him after missing last season and kind of flying under the radar. He now has a number of schools interested in him at the next level.

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  20. Jeremy, did I miss something or did they rename the divisions from L,I,M,S to 1,2,3,4 ?

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  21. jeremy never answered that question

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  22. Kids repeating 8th grade is a joke!! If your good enough then you have nothing to worry about. Both Dickson and Giampetruzzi did it. So keep that in mind when discussing them as incoming freshmen.

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  23. joey maher and jared fahmy will dominate division 2

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  24. Yes, they are changing it from Class L, I, M and S to Division I, II, III and IV. My explanation for this is in the post above about Division III and IV.

    And as for the BG transfers, I'd rather not say anything else until their papers go through and it's official.

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  25. So Nashua North, who has what Jeremy ranks as two of the best sophmores in the state(who will both be juniors next year) won't be one of the best teams? Then maybe those kids are over rated?

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  26. Those kids are probably going to BG.

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  27. Let me just clarify on the 8th graders repeating. Judson will be repeating 8th grade next year, and will be part of the Class of 2015. The reason for this is because he is young for his age, and also because of academics. I don't know about the others, but I have received confirmation that Judson is not doing this for basketball reasons.

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  28. The reality is weather you like it or not, for whatever the reasons maybe, sports or not, is its not a big deal either way weather a kid repeats in elementary/Jr. high, if it helps them a bit with sports then great if not, not a big deal, there is no hurry to get out of school, when all is said and done, do you wanna work for 50 years or 4, it truly isnt gonna make a difference, in the end!!!!! If i could go back, i would have repeaedt 8th grade, done a PG, and redshirted in college, i would have spared my self 3 extra years from the work force, No hurries getting out of school, absorb all the knowledge and opportunities you can!!

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  29. repeating 8th grade is a joke. Get over it 3:07. Imagine if kids like Floras and Joseph, or Javon repeated. It just wouldnt be fair.

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  30. If thats what you have for a reponse, then maybe you should have repeated, its about the opportunity as a whole, not weather Merrimack beats Nashua North. In the end its not about fair, life isnt fair, incase you havent figured that out, as long as the basic paramenters are there, so it can be abused, if kids where repeating 2 or 3 times before getting to high school that would be abusive in nature. You even said in your earlier post, one year of repeating isnt gonna make a difference, right? so is it truly that unfair of an advantage, you tell me!!!!

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  31. Repeating a grade would be advantageous to any student. What parent wouldn't want their child to have a greater opportunity to succeed in high school, college and beyond?

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  32. Kids have been repeating a junior high year forever and then going to Trinity. It happened in the 70s, 80s, 90s and now in this century. It's a joke. Kids repeating junior high years combined with the scholarships given out to Athlete-Students as opposed to Student-Athletes is what makes Trinity High a questionable high school.

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  33. schedule for next year released,merrimack at bg tues mar 1st which happens to be senior day for the merrimack boys{that go to bg},mcclung,cuipa,remillard,and kelly.Boy the schedule makers have a sense of humor.Should be a fun night.

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  34. Gerdon is the real deal the top 3 best overall player I saw in the 8th grade last year besides Larrivve and the kid for Lithcfield.
    CJ Boykin is a good player too, but Tim Preston a 5-6 pg ( as not even started growing yet) going to South might be the best player in class when all said in done. He too is young for his grade turned 13 in September and as been playing AAU for the Boston Warriors for 3 years.

    He outplayed Judson, Gerdon, and Boykin this year. Reminds me a lot of Mike Mitchell.

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  35. why didn't you say anything about Merrimack next year?

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  36. My bad, I thought I got to everyone. I'll edit in my thoughts on Merrimack now.

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  37. 6:01, if you're having your son repeat 8th grade for academic or social reasons, then it's fine. But if you're doing it for basketball reasons, you need to get some perspective. This isn't college basketball where they redshirt kids. It's middle school basketball in the state of New Hampshire. You may think your son is the next Matt Bonner, but he probably isn't. Just let him fend for himself and go on to his high school and try to compete, at his own natural grade. Making him go to 8th grade twice is a waste of his time.

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  38. Merrimack. Are you joking. They will be bottom 1/3. They lost to much. Jeremy when are you going to wake up concerning Merrimack

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  39. As stated previously, not all children repeat for sporting purposes and that the decision to repeat a grade is between the child, parents and the involved schools. For some children that do repeat, their eventual graduating class may be their natural grade due to their age, as in the case of our son. Preparing a child for their future high school career, college career, and adult life is simply not a waste of time, but a means to develop a strong, educated, confident, driven and dedicated individual. Supporting your child begins at a young age and each step they take throughout their journey is another step along that path to success.

    We believe that our child is who he is, not who someone else is. We believe in assisting our son in making decisions that will encourage him to reach his desired outcome of success. He has defined what that success is and we, as his parents, have supported him along the way and will continue to do so. We believe in assisting our child to prepare for future situations as much as possible. Repeating a grade and fostering his overall development will certainly not be a detriment to his future.

    It pleases us greatly when people remember who our son is, whether he has had a good game or a not so good game. What will continue to please us is when people continue to remember our son for the decent human being that he is, not for remembering if he has had a good or not so good game.

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  40. This thread has been very thought provoking. When I went to school in the '70's there were children that actually "stayed back". If the school didn't feel little Johnny or Sally was ready to move on to the next grade they repeated. Many good friends in the grade school years had this happen. Now everybody gets a lolipop, a pat on the back and pushed onward even if they shouldn't. Things have really changed in the past 2 decades, not always for the better. Lets get back on track with the topic of this thread- 2010-2011 HIGH SCHOOL basketball.

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  41. valentin and asselin another year at west? jeremy u need to ckeck your facts. valentin played varsity his frosh year and one semester his soph year and was an academic casualty(attendance issues).his junior year he played thru the christmas tourney and then was awol the remainder of the season(nothing to do with illness). this year he was a no show for two weeks. as for asselin he played jv his frosh year at west, moved down south start of his soph season, moved back and played last month of the season. his jr. year he was at memorial to start the school year then left in the fall. returned to west last year and had a great year. after looking at the nhiaa policy i would have to say these two playing next year is along shot at best.

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  42. portsmouth not a contender next yr? anyone?? i dont believe it

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  43. Now that we are back on track talking hoops, I read the name Bonner in a post above. I watched quite a few class L (now D1) games this year. Seeing Concord at the bottom of the standings again, this must be getting old for the kids. Observing their players they all look very young. Everyone always talks about the top tier teams, how about some discussion on the bottom. Teams like Concord, Timberlane etc. Is there any hope on the horizion for these programs??

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  44. Last year (2008 - 2009) I asked Valentin's cousin why he wasn't playing anymore and he told me that Rich had quit the team. I asked if he was sick or injured and he said no.

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  45. im still very concerned about your thoughts jeremy. did you know that teams are made in practice? well winnacunnet made it to the finals this year, because they were a TEAM and if you are a good team you have to have good/great practices. and you are still giving winnacunnet no respect. this is a TEAM and teams can beat talent any given night. im sorry to say but now that these kids have learned how to lead a team and be a team from this graduating class im sure they will make a run into the tourney

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  46. As for repeating a grade, no non athletes are doing this, Many are doing it in Pembroke/Concord area all of a sudden. What gives?

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  47. There is no way the NHIAA should reward a player with an extra year of basketball for deliberately missing practices and games, and failing academically. Every child has the same opportunity to finish high school in four years, and most kids do. Unless there are extenuating circumstances, the NHIAA should not reward lack of effort and truancy.

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  48. Next season will see the emrgence of the New Big Three: Maher, Fahmey and O'Brien.

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  49. which Fahmy are you referring to?

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  50. no.. the big 3 will be in Milford..

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  51. Central is going to win it all!

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  52. if only green stayed at bedford, him fahmy and maher? now thats a fun team to watch

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  53. how about some discussion on the bottom. Teams like Concord, Timberlane etc. Is there any hope on the horizion for these programs??

    If i were a parent of a timberlane player i would take everyone from middle school up to highschool and have their butts in the gym with pastore and hazelton at the RAC. Its right down the street from them and that by far is the best program around.Maybe some of them are already doing it? either way you would be crazy not to get them in there it would be a huge advantage.

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  54. The RAC would love to help the Timberlane program, but they are rejected from above. Like stated avove the RAC AAU is on of the strongest programs in New England, right down the street from Timberlane. Hazleton coached the Timberlane 8th grade travel team this winter to an 12-0 record in their division, a win in a 35 team tournament at Merrimack College and almost beat Andover Mass. with a 1 point loss.

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  55. Dickson and Giampetruzzi didnt stay back for basketball they stayed back because there young for there ages. I have just contacted St. Joesph's to see the real reason they stayed back. Dickson isn't really young for his age though he just turned 15 a week ago. Giampetruzzi's is in august so hes very young.

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  56. jeremy,
    i see some chatter about incoming freshman for next year. Could you give a list of who you think will be the top 15-20 incoming freshman for next year and what schools they will be attending? It would be nice to see which kids might impact the high school level,

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  57. It is funny that for the most part only the 'top atheletes' are "young for thier age".

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  58. Name me a player that does not play sports that stays back despite passing grades the year prior? Anyone got an example of that?

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  59. Portsmouth will need a true point guard next season. It was obvious to most that Lane will not be ready to play next year. He has to many flaws that experienced players will pick up on. Do they have any other younger guards on the way up that could contribute and maybe move Lane to the Two guard spot?

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  60. Yeah, I agree about Lane. He wasn't impressive in either of the playoff games I saw him in, or during the 2 regular season games. Doesn't seem to know how to use his talen to his advantage. Don't see why Jeremy has him rated so high. He says Lane is quick, but I didn't see teams have a problem guarding him, esp. during the playoff games.

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  61. Jeremy,Have you seen the Welch kid who will be a pembroke frosh play at all? I know they are only going to be freshman but he as well as six five Williams will have and immediate impact next season.Do not be surprised if williams is among the leading rebounders in class i as a freshman.Pembroke will be very young but can put five kids on the court that will be allstate level players in the next few years!They will be and interesting team to watch at bst this summer maybe a year away with all Milford has next season but expect Alosa will have them right there at the end.X factor could be if neely is allowed to play.

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  62. another good incoming freshman is tyler kelley he will be attending trinity next year so trinitys gonna have a big 4 Giampetruzzi,keefe, dickson, and kelley.

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